JOAS Projections

Projected Super Bowl Champion

wins it all in 22.1% of 2,500 simulated seasons

Projected Division Records

AFC East

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
NE New England Patriots	9.7–7.3	50.4%	69.8%
BUF Buffalo Bills	9.6–7.4	46.8%	67.1%
NYJ New York Jets	6.3–10.7	2.4%	5.6%
MIA Miami Dolphins	4.7–12.3	0.4%	1.0%

AFC North

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
CIN Cincinnati Bengals	11.0–6.0	51.2%	88.3%
BAL Baltimore Ravens	10.9–6.1	41.3%	83.2%
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	8.5–8.5	7.2%	36.1%
CLE Cleveland Browns	5.5–11.5	0.4%	2.4%

AFC South

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars	9.8–7.2	56.6%	69.9%
IND Indianapolis Colts	8.7–8.3	30.3%	47.5%
HOU Houston Texans	7.4–9.6	10.2%	20.0%
TEN Tennessee Titans	5.9–11.1	2.9%	5.6%

AFC West

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
KC Kansas City Chiefs	10.5–6.5	46.0%	79.2%
LAC Los Angeles Chargers	10.2–6.8	37.2%	71.4%
DEN Denver Broncos	8.7–8.3	14.4%	42.4%
LV Las Vegas Raiders	7.0–10.0	2.5%	10.6%

NFC East

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	10.2–6.8	54.6%	70.5%
NYG New York Giants	9.4–7.6	33.7%	52.8%
DAL Dallas Cowboys	7.8–9.2	10.5%	20.6%
WAS Washington Commanders	5.7–11.3	1.2%	2.8%

NFC North

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
CHI Chicago Bears	10.2–6.8	36.5%	67.6%
GB Green Bay Packers	9.7–7.3	24.6%	55.6%
MIN Minnesota Vikings	9.4–7.6	17.1%	46.5%
DET Detroit Lions	9.2–7.8	21.8%	51.0%

NFC South

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8.5–8.5	46.9%	51.2%
NO New Orleans Saints	8.3–8.7	36.0%	40.2%
CAR Carolina Panthers	6.6–10.4	10.6%	12.5%
ATL Atlanta Falcons	6.0–11.0	6.4%	7.5%

NFC West

Team	Proj W–L	Win Div	Playoffs
LAR Los Angeles Rams	11.9–5.1	62.4%	92.4%
SEA Seattle Seahawks	10.6–6.4	23.0%	70.1%
SF San Francisco 49ers	9.6–7.4	14.5%	58.2%
ARI Arizona Cardinals	4.6–12.4	0.0%	0.8%

Projected Playoff Seeding

AFC

Seed	Team	Proj W–L	#1 Seed	Avg Seed	Win Conf
1	CIN Cincinnati Bengals · div	11.0–6.0	24.4%	3.4	14.1%
2	KC Kansas City Chiefs · div	10.5–6.5	14.4%	3.7	15.8%
3	JAC Jacksonville Jaguars · div	9.8–7.2	6.9%	3.6	8.3%
4	NE New England Patriots · div	9.7–7.3	8.0%	3.7	10.2%
5	BAL Baltimore Ravens · WC	10.9–6.1	19.4%	3.8	16.9%
6	LAC Los Angeles Chargers · WC	10.2–6.8	11.2%	4	14.9%
7	BUF Buffalo Bills · WC	9.6–7.4	7.4%	3.8	9.3%

NFC

Seed	Team	Proj W–L	#1 Seed	Avg Seed	Win Conf
1	LAR Los Angeles Rams · div	11.9–5.1	39.1%	2.9	35.0%
2	PHI Philadelphia Eagles · div	10.2–6.8	9.1%	3.4	8.5%
3	CHI Chicago Bears · div	10.2–6.8	10.8%	3.9	10.5%
4	TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers · div	8.5–8.5	1.7%	3.7	2.9%
5	SEA Seattle Seahawks · WC	10.6–6.4	12.1%	4.4	14.0%
6	SF San Francisco 49ers · WC	9.6–7.4	7.0%	4.9	6.6%
7	GB Green Bay Packers · WC	9.7–7.3	5.4%	4.4	6.3%

Super Bowl Odds

#	Team	Proj W–L	Make Playoffs	Win Conference	Win Super Bowl
1	LAR Los Angeles Rams	11.9–5.1	92.4%	35.0%	22.1%
2	BAL Baltimore Ravens	10.9–6.1	83.2%	16.9%	8.4%
3	SEA Seattle Seahawks	10.6–6.4	70.1%	14.0%	8.2%
4	KC Kansas City Chiefs	10.5–6.5	79.2%	15.8%	7.9%
5	LAC Los Angeles Chargers	10.2–6.8	71.4%	14.9%	7.6%
6	CIN Cincinnati Bengals	11.0–6.0	88.3%	14.1%	6.3%
7	CHI Chicago Bears	10.2–6.8	67.6%	10.5%	5.0%
8	NE New England Patriots	9.7–7.3	69.8%	10.2%	4.7%
9	BUF Buffalo Bills	9.6–7.4	67.1%	9.3%	4.1%
10	JAC Jacksonville Jaguars	9.8–7.2	69.9%	8.3%	4.1%
11	PHI Philadelphia Eagles	10.2–6.8	70.5%	8.5%	3.6%
12	SF San Francisco 49ers	9.6–7.4	58.2%	6.6%	3.4%
13	GB Green Bay Packers	9.7–7.3	55.6%	6.3%	3.0%
14	MIN Minnesota Vikings	9.4–7.6	46.5%	4.6%	2.3%

2,500 full-season simulations of the real 2026 schedule using JOAS projected scoring rates, defense-vs-position factors (plus any admin defense adjustments), and home/road effects. Seeding follows NFL rules — 4 division winners + 3 wild cards, #1 seed bye, re-seeded bracket, neutral-site Super Bowl. Records are expected wins.